Skip to content
SYNAPPTIQ©
All capabilities

Reimbursement Predictor · Scenario estimates

Explore the milestones between submission and NHS use.

Build an access timeline using a reference medicine and your scenario assumptions.

Examine estimated submission, authorisation, HTA and first-use milestones while keeping licensing, agency recommendations, commissioning and recorded NHS activity distinct. Identify where timing can be estimated and where the evidence leaves an open question.

Start with a reference medicine

Choose a reference medicine and set the assumptions relevant to your planning question. Its regulatory and reimbursement characteristics fill in, and you can change any setting to reflect your scenario.

Keep each access milestone distinct

Regulatory authorisation, an agency recommendation, commissioning and recorded NHS use answer different questions. Review the agency-by-agency position and the supporting source before interpreting what a milestone means for access.

Editorial artwork: mountain roads at night branching into several lit routes

Identify the assumptions that matter

Compare the estimated sequence with the reference evidence. Where a step cannot be estimated, the timeline says so, focusing discussion on the dependencies that need further investigation. Results can be taken away in PDF, Word and Excel.

Does the timeline estimate an HTA verdict?

No. Reimbursement Predictor provides access timing scenario estimates, not a judgement about the recommendation an HTA body will make, and estimated first NHS use is not a confirmed access date.

Request a Reimbursement Predictor demonstration

Continue your evidence review

Decision focus: Examine appraisal precedent and access timing

How did NICE and SMC judge comparable economic cases?

For HTA and health economics consultancies

Connected capabilities

7 of 9 capabilities